Weekly Review · W41 · 2026 Weekly Review · W41 · 2026 Two Markets Stocks hit a record this week. In the same week the 10-year US Treasury yield hit its highest level since 2002. One market sees growth, the other sees the bill. Both cannot be right. 11 October 2026 · week of 5 … Read more
Weekly Review · W40 · 2026 Weekly Review · W40 · 2026 The Train In one week the odds of an October rate hike fell from 70 to roughly 20 percent. The labour market added just 29,000 jobs in September. And the US 10-year Treasury yield still ended the week higher than it started. The … Read more
Weekly Review · W39 · 2026 Weekly Review · W39 · 2026 Nineteen Years The 10-year US Treasury yield climbed to its highest level since June 2007. The 30-year pays almost 5.5 percent. The S&P 500, meanwhile, closed the week in the green, just 0.7 percent below its record, and the fear index is dozing … Read more
Weekly Review · W39 · 2026 Weekly Review · W39 · 2026 The Vice In nine days the world’s three largest central banks raised rates. The US ten year yield passed 5 percent, oil is holding above 100 dollars, and Hormuz has been shut for a seventh month. At the same time the fear index … Read more
Weekly Review · W26 · 2026 Ebb Tide For the first time in three years the ECB is raising rates, the Fed’s dot plot has turned from cutting to hiking, and gold fell below 4,000 dollars. The liquidity wave is pulling back. And when the water goes out, you see who was swimming without trunks. … Read more
Weekly Review · W22 · 2026 The Wheel Changes Hands With oil down 16 percent and gold circling 4,500 dollars, the most important event of the week was not a price. It was the fact that the Federal Reserve got a new driver. The question is no longer “when do they cut,” but “who controls … Read more
Weekly Review · W17 · 2026 · 2026-04-21 · Meška Hormuz ceasefire ends tomorrow. The oil shock is pushing global liquidity down – and central banks haven’t decided what to do yet. 50 days of war’s consequences are only now reaching financial systems. Gold – ATH zone. BTC – oscillating. DXY – weakening. ECB – … Read more
Week’s Signal The Hormuz blockade remains essential: a security premium, not a geopolitical trick. The two-week US–Iran ceasefire is melting away, and fleet transit through the strait remains severely restricted. Since March 27, when the IRGC closed the strait, maritime movement dropped to nearly zero. It later returned to about 30% of normal levels, but … Read more
existing
Hormuz closed, BRICS Unit launched, the S&P falling for a fourth straight week, and the Fed doing what it always does: pretending it’s in control. A week where everything came together. Iran rejected Trump’s peace plan. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively shut, with the IRGC declaring that “not a drop of oil will pass.” … Read more