Cycles turn. Players play.
Here we try to understand both.
Macro, geopolitics, markets, narratives — unified through the hegemonic cycle lens. One person, one analytical lens.
The US is in the late phase of its hegemonic cycle. Debt, military overextension, dollar weaponization — a systemic sequence traceable across centuries. China is building an alternative system. The world is restructuring now.
Every article connects macroeconomics, geopolitics, markets, psychology, and narratives — so that events stop looking random and start looking logical.
Start here.
The content is complex — these four articles form the lens through which everything else is read.
244-Cycle System
Six major economic cycles — from 3-year Kitchin short-term pulses to 500-year hegemonic waves — operate simultaneously and intersect.
All articles, market analyses and geopolitical assessments on unwind.wtf are read through this lens. This is not a theory — it is a map.
Read about cycles →Naujausi straipsniai
Three Scenarios for How Cycles Get Pushed
Druckenmiller has one of the best lines about markets. It does not matter whether you are right or wrong. What matters is how much you...
The Machine Is Assembled. June 8, the First Switch
Here I am. Here is what I think. I know how it sounds. This article is an attempt to gather, in one place, the theses...
Hegemonic Cycle 101: why everything you see is connected
One model that explains wars, market crashes, currency wars, and trade blockades — all at once. The hegemonic cycle, and why everything you see in...
XRP Architecture: Why 95% of My Portfolio Is in One Asset
Author: Meška | unwind.wtf From time to time someone notices that I mention XRP – in articles, conversations, analysis. And asks: why this one specifically?...
The Farmer Who Mapped the Future: The Benner Cycle and Why Nobody Listens
150 years ago, an Ohio farmer who had lost everything in a financial panic sat down at his table and drew a chart. The chart...